The question being are the reported infected accurate or are people being listed as heart disease main existing condition- when the actual cause of death is nCoV?
The other question being the rate of infectious spread per person. Basic reproduction number and other historic pandemics
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
https://voice.baidu.com/act/newpneumonia/newpneumonia/?from=osari_pc_1
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
https://extranet.who.int/publicemergency
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
https://cmmid-lshtm.shinyapps.io/traveller_screening/
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.27.20018952v1
Abstract
We estimate the effective reproduction number for 2019-nCoV based on the daily reported cases from China CDC. The results indicate that 2019-nCoV has a higher effective reproduction number than SARS with a comparable fatality rate.
Competing Interest Statement
The authors have declared no competing interest.
Funding Statement
This work was supported in part by grants from the Ministry of Science and Technology (2016QY02D0305), National Natural Science Foundation of China (71621002, 71771213, 71790615, 71972164 and 91846301), Chinese Academy of Sciences (ZDRW-XH-2017-3), and the Hunan Science and Technology Plan Project (2017RS3040, 2018JJ1034).
As the Chinese and Who stage manage the situation and people are still allowed to move round the globe in a reactive instead of proactive manner- this will undoubtedly unfold.